Mumbai is among the regions hit by "urban apathy" — it has a tradition of recording low voter turnout. In the 2024 Maharashtra elections, Mumbai city recorded the lowest turnout at 49 per cent, while the Mumbai suburban region recorded a turnout of around 51.9 per cent, as per the Election Commission's data at 8 pm on Wednesday, November 20.
There are 36 Assembly seats in Mumbai city and suburban region. The key contest is between the Mahayuti alliance, which includes the BJP, the Shiv Sena, and the NCP, and the Opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), which includes the Congress, the Shiv Sena (UBT), and the NCP (SP).
1. Axis My India exit poll: Mahayuti is expected to win 22 of the toal 36 seats in the Mumbai region and 14 seats for the Opposition MVA. Meanwhile, it predicted 45 percent vote-share for Mahayuti in Mumbai and 43 percent voter share for the MVA.
2. Republic TV's Matrize exit poll showed the Mahayuti alliance is likely to win 20-26 seats out of the 36 seats in Mumbai. The alliance may win 47 per cent vote share. The MVA may get 9-15 seats with a 40 per cent vote share, according to the exit poll.
Seat predictions for Mumbai under MATRIZE:
> BJP: 13-15 seats (24% vote share)
> Shiv Sena (UBT): 5-7 seats (23% vote share)
> Shiv Sena: 7-9 seats (21% vote share)
> Congress: 4-6 seats (13% vote share)
> NCP (SP): 0-1 seat (4% vote share)
> NCP: 0-2 seats (2% vote share)
> MNS: 0-1 seat (vote share not specified)
3. The JVC exit poll for Maharashtra projected a close contest between the Mahayuti and INDIA blocs in Mumbai. As per the survey, the BJP is projected to win 17-19 seats, with the Congress securing 16-18 seats In the Mumbai region, which has 36 seats.
4. SAS Group exit poll gave an edge to the INDIA bloc, showing that the MVA may get 18-19 seats, while the ruling Mahayuti alliance may win 17-18 seats in Mumbai, Free Press Journal reported. Others will get 1-2 seats.
5. P-MARQ: Mahayuti is predicted to win between 16 and 24 seats. The MVA is expected to lag behind, with a projected 12 to 20 seats.
The 36 assembly seats in the Mumbai and suburban region witnessed a fierce contest between Eknath Shinde's Shiv Sena (Mahayuti) and Uddhav Thackeray's Shiv Sena (UBT) on several seats. Besides, out of 16 MLAs of the BJP in Mumbai, the party had renominated 14 in its first list. Check the full list of assembly seats in Mumbai and suburban region here
